Pistons vs. Cavaliers Game 4 Predictions, Odds & Stats – May 11

Cleveland Cavaliers v Los Angeles Clippers

Photo: Harry How / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Detroit Pistons are slight 3.5-point underdogs heading into Game 4 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Rocket Arena on Monday, starting at 8 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock.

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Listen to the game on Newsradio WTAM 1100

Pistons vs. Cavaliers Predictions for Monday

Our computer model for this contest expects a final score of Pistons 115, Cavaliers 114.

  • Moneyline Pick: Pistons (+140)
  • Total Pick: Over 213 (computer predicts 229.1 points)
  • Pick ATS: Pistons (+3.5)

Recent Pistons vs. Cavaliers Matchups

Cavaliers vs Pistons (Recent Matchups)
Date Favorite Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Result
5/9/2026 Cavaliers -4.5 211.5 -191 +160 116-109 CLE
5/7/2026 Pistons -3.5 215.5 -162 +136 107-97 DET
5/5/2026 Pistons -3.5 216.5 -158 +133 111-101 DET
3/3/2026 Pistons -2.5 228.5 -147 +122 113-109 CLE
2/27/2026 Pistons -9 227.5 -358 +283 122-119 DET
1/4/2026 Cavaliers -4.5 237.5 -191 +159 114-110 DET
10/27/2025 Cavaliers -2.5 231.5 -131 +110 116-95 CLE
3/28/2025 Cavaliers -6.5 233.5 -273 +221 133-122 DET
2/5/2025 Cavaliers -3.5 234 -159 +135 118-115 CLE
1/27/2025 Cavaliers -11 235 -510 +383 110-91 CLE
10/25/2024 Cavaliers -10.5 225.5 -581 +425 113-101 CLE

Cavaliers 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Cleveland has a 34-47-1 record against the spread this season.
  • The Cavaliers are 22-35-1 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
  • Out of Cleveland's 82 games with a set total, 40 have hit the over (48.8%).
  • The Cavaliers have entered the game as favorites 66 times this season and won 45, or 68.2%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 40-15, a 72.7% win rate, when it's favored by -167 or more by bookmakers this season.

Pistons 2025-26 Betting Trends

  • Detroit has gone 44-38-0 ATS this season.
  • The Pistons have a 6-1 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 3.5 points or more.
  • Detroit has hit the over in 38 of its 82 games with a set total (46.3%).
  • The Pistons are 12-3 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 80% of those games).
  • Detroit has a record of 4-1 when playing as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer (80%).

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Pistons vs. Cavaliers Injury Report

Cavaliers

Cavaliers: None

Pistons

Pistons:

Kevin Huerter: Day-To-Day (Adductor)

Pistons vs. Cavaliers Game Time and TV Channel

  • Game day: Monday, May 11, 2026
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: NBC/Peacock
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Arena: Rocket Arena

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